Friday, November 2, 2007

College Picks

Play: Rutgers Money Line vs. UConn (3 Stars)

Play: Oregon/Arizona State Over 61 (3 Stars)

Feature Bet of the weekend:
Play Navy -3 (3.5 Stars)
Navy travels to the "Golden Dome" this weekend to take on the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame looking to end the nation's longest losing streak to any one opponent. The Midshipmen have lost 43 in row in this series. However, they have had success versus number as most recently they are a perfect 7-0 ATS when playing at Notre Dame since 1992.

What should help Navy this week is that they are leading the NCAA in rushing averaging 343 yards per game and 5.5 yards per carry. This week they will be playing against a Notre Dame defense who is giving up an average of 192 rushing yards per game on 4.4 yards per carry.

Notre Dame comes into this one hoping to contiue their dominance of Navy but are in the midst of one of the worst seasons in history. They stand a horrible 1-7 SU and 1-3 ATS in home games this season. In their previous game they were shut out by USC at home 38-0.

The Notre Dame offense has been nonexistant this season scoring an average of only 10 points per game on 188 yards of total offense. Their defense hasn't been able to keep the Irish in games as they have given up an average of 29.6 points per game.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: NAVY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. NAVY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992. NOTRE DAME is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half since 1992.

In their last week Navy surprising lost to Delaware but more than likely were looking ahead to this game as they finally have a legitimate shot at winning this one. I'm taking Navy in this one.

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